Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.031140 0.033495 0.035850 0.038378 0.041011 0.043669 0.046553
2025-09-14 0.026142 0.029821 0.033626 0.037839 0.042357 0.047044 0.052258
2025-09-21 0.022949 0.027329 0.031968 0.037215 0.042955 0.049012 0.055860
2025-09-28 0.020219 0.025049 0.030279 0.036308 0.043014 0.050196 0.058423
2025-10-05 0.019103 0.024430 0.030299 0.037164 0.044898 0.053272 0.062958
2025-10-12 0.017861 0.023560 0.029943 0.037512 0.046142 0.055580 0.066592
2025-10-19 0.016447 0.022392 0.029163 0.037303 0.046691 0.057057 0.069252
2025-10-26 0.015927 0.022233 0.029511 0.038354 0.048642 0.060084 0.073628
2025-11-02 0.014998 0.021525 0.029167 0.038558 0.049586 0.061944 0.076666
2025-11-09 0.013983 0.020655 0.028583 0.038438 0.050117 0.063305 0.079114
2025-11-16 0.013109 0.019913 0.028114 0.038418 0.050738 0.064744 0.081632
2025-11-23 0.012104 0.018953 0.027337 0.037993 0.050849 0.065569 0.083423
2025-11-30 0.011160 0.018085 0.026708 0.037807 0.051327 0.066928 0.085966
2025-12-07 0.010069 0.016981 0.025759 0.037217 0.051329 0.067747 0.087920
2025-12-14 0.009071 0.015938 0.024832 0.036606 0.051260 0.068447 0.089700
2025-12-21 0.008042 0.014786 0.023713 0.035707 0.050800 0.068651 0.090871
2025-12-28 0.007778 0.014699 0.023978 0.036555 0.052482 0.071409 0.095059
2026-01-04 0.007346 0.014341 0.023864 0.036900 0.053531 0.073400 0.098333
2026-01-11 0.006747 0.013702 0.023340 0.036693 0.053872 0.074524 0.100565
2026-01-18 0.006623 0.013767 0.023775 0.037733 0.055779 0.077550 0.105077
2026-01-25 0.006226 0.013391 0.023582 0.037935 0.056619 0.079270 0.108020
2026-02-01 0.005753 0.012866 0.023160 0.037816 0.057036 0.080465 0.110324
2026-02-08 0.005343 0.012417 0.022826 0.037797 0.057571 0.081795 0.112786